Análisis Fernando de la Mora vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
22.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
51.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2006 |
TAC
1 - 2
FER
72%
19%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2006 |
FER
0 - 0
LQE
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 sep. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 1
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 ago. 2006 |
FER
0 - 2
GUA
30%
26%
45%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 2
FER
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 sep. 2006 |
NAC
3 - 3
TAC
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2006 |
LQE
0 - 4
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 ago. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
45%
25%
29%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 ago. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |