Análisis Fernando de la Mora vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
22.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
51.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-18%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 may. 2006 |
FER
0 - 4
LQE
23%
25%
52%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2006 |
TAC
1 - 0
FER
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 may. 2006 |
FER
0 - 2
LIB
18%
25%
57%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2006 |
CCP
2 - 1
FER
76%
16%
7%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 abr. 2006 |
FER
1 - 3
OLI
29%
27%
45%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 may. 2006 |
2DE
0 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 may. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 abr. 2006 |
NAC
5 - 1
LQE
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
GUA
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |