Tercera División G11 Jor. 20

Análisis Ferriolense vs UD Arenal

Ferriolense UD Arenal
31 ELO 27
27% Tilt 19.9%
10475º Ranking ELO general 22121º
700º Ranking ELO país 6966º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
61.4%
Ferriolense
20.6%
Empate
18%
UD Arenal

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Ferriolense
2.07
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
UD Arenal
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Ferriolense
UD Arenal
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Ferriolense
Ferriolense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 ene. 2004
FER
Ferriolense
4 - 0
CD Cardessar
CDC
66%
19%
15%
28 25 3 0
04 ene. 2004
PBL
Poblense
3 - 1
Ferriolense
FER
43%
26%
31%
30 31 1 -2
21 dic. 2003
ALA
CE Alaior
2 - 3
Ferriolense
FER
39%
25%
36%
29 27 2 +1
14 dic. 2003
FER
Ferriolense
4 - 3
UD Ibiza
IBI
45%
25%
30%
27 34 7 +2
07 dic. 2003
ATB
Atlético Baleares
2 - 1
Ferriolense
FER
52%
24%
24%
28 30 2 -1

Partidos

UD Arenal
UD Arenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 ene. 2004
ALA
CE Alaior
0 - 2
UD Arenal
UDA
47%
25%
28%
27 27 0 0
04 ene. 2004
UDA
UD Arenal
2 - 1
UD Ibiza
IBI
33%
27%
40%
26 33 7 +1
21 dic. 2003
ATB
Atlético Baleares
1 - 1
UD Arenal
UDA
61%
22%
17%
25 29 4 +1
14 dic. 2003
UDA
UD Arenal
3 - 0
Montuiri
MNU
42%
25%
33%
24 25 1 +1
07 dic. 2003
SLL
Soller
2 - 0
UD Arenal
UDA
60%
21%
19%
25 25 0 -1