Análisis Ferro Carril Oeste vs Defensa y Justicia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
37.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
30%
Empate
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
32.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
12.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 2012 |
DES
0 - 2
FER
30%
28%
41%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2012 |
FER
0 - 0
CHA
51%
29%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2012 |
PAT
3 - 0
FER
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 abr. 2012 |
FER
0 - 2
CEN
26%
30%
44%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
ATT
0 - 1
FER
54%
26%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 2
MER
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
DYJ
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 may. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 1
IRV
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
DYJ
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 0
BUC
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |