Análisis Ferroviário Nampula vs Desportivo de Nacala
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
47.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.33
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
28.1%
Empate
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
24.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+42%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ferroviário Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 2014 |
COS
1 - 0
FER
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
FER
40%
30%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 abr. 2014 |
FCC
0 - 1
FER
43%
29%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
PEM
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2014 |
TEX
0 - 1
FER
35%
30%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Desportivo de Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2014 |
DES
2 - 0
DMA
50%
28%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2014 |
MAX
4 - 0
DES
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 abr. 2014 |
DES
0 - 0
LIG
34%
30%
36%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
DES
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 mar. 2014 |
DES
1 - 2
QUE
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |