Análisis Ferroviário Nacala vs Desportivo de Nacala
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
46.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.26
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
29.1%
Empate
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
24.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2018 |
IDX
1 - 0
FEN
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2018 |
FEN
2 - 0
SCN
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 jul. 2018 |
MAX
0 - 0
FEN
47%
29%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 0
QUE
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
FEN
37%
32%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Desportivo de Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2018 |
DES
2 - 2
FER
37%
30%
33%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
DES
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 ago. 2018 |
DES
2 - 0
HCB
31%
30%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 ago. 2018 |
DES
1 - 0
FER
36%
31%
33%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 jul. 2018 |
COS
3 - 1
DES
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |