Análisis Figueirense vs Portuguesa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 3
FFL
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2009 |
FFL
3 - 0
IFC
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 abr. 2009 |
PPE
0 - 0
FFL
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 abr. 2009 |
FFL
2 - 2
PPE
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 mar. 2009 |
FFL
5 - 4
CRI
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 may. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 abr. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
POR
4 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |