Análisis Figueirense vs Bahía
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 jun. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 0
FFL
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2012 |
FFL
0 - 0
PPE
64%
20%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 jun. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
FFL
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 2
FFL
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 1
NAU
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 jun. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 1
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 2
VAS
31%
25%
45%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 jun. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 1
BAH
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAH
66%
22%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 may. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
BAH
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |