Análisis Figueirense vs Hermann Aichinger
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.81
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.6%
Empate
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.59
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 2009 |
JEC
3 - 0
FFL
13%
19%
68%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2009 |
BRU
1 - 0
FFL
10%
17%
73%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | -1 |
| 19 ene. 2009 |
FFL
4 - 0
TUB
89%
9%
3%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | +1 |
| 07 dic. 2008 |
FFL
3 - 1
SCI
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 3
FFL
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 2009 |
HER
2 - 0
TUB
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2009 |
CRI
2 - 1
HER
64%
19%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2008 |
HER
0 - 3
FFL
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 0
HER
33%
24%
44%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |