Análisis Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.87
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.5%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.4
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 abr. 2008 |
MET
2 - 4
FFL
15%
20%
65%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2008 |
FFL
0 - 2
AVA
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2008 |
FFL
1 - 0
TUB
89%
9%
3%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2008 |
CRI
3 - 1
FFL
23%
24%
54%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2008 |
FFL
6 - 4
BRU
86%
11%
4%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
Partidos
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 abr. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
CHA
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 3
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 mar. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 2
JEC
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 3
MAR
55%
22%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 2008 |
MET
1 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |