Análisis Figueirense vs Vila Nova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.33
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.2%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 jul. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 0
FFL
28%
27%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 jul. 2009 |
FFL
3 - 1
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 jul. 2009 |
BAH
0 - 1
FFL
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 jun. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 1
VAS
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 0
PAR
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 jul. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 2
VAS
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 jul. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 jul. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 jun. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 1
VIL
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 3
ATL
41%
26%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |