Recopa de Europa . Semifinal
Global 4-2
Análisis Fiorentina vs Dinamo Zagreb
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
73.8%
Probabilidad gana
2.71
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.1%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 mar. 1961 |
FIO
0 - 0
NAP
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 1961 |
FIO
2 - 0
CAT
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 1961 |
JUV
3 - 0
FIO
70%
16%
14%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 1961 |
FIO
2 - 0
PAD
78%
13%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 1961 |
BAR
0 - 0
FIO
21%
25%
54%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 1960 |
DZG
2 - 0
RHB
81%
11%
8%
|
78 | 15 | 63 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1960 |
RHB
0 - 0
DZG
31%
22%
47%
|
78 | 15 | 63 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 1958 |
DUK
2 - 1
DZG
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 sep. 1958 |
DZG
2 - 2
DUK
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |