Análisis Flamengo vs Avaí
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.26
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.7%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+26%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 2009 |
FLA
0 - 0
SCI
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
CRZ
2 - 0
FLA
53%
24%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 may. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 3
FLA
23%
25%
52%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 2
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2009 |
FLA
0 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 2
ATM
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
AVA
6 - 1
CHA
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
CHA
3 - 1
AVA
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 abr. 2009 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2009 |
JEC
1 - 0
AVA
23%
23%
54%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |