Serie A Betano Segunda fase, ganadores, Grupo I Jor. 3

Análisis Flamengo vs Botafogo SP

Flamengo Botafogo SP
89 ELO 80
-6.4% Tilt -18.2%
130º Ranking ELO general 746º
Ranking ELO país 40º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
75.4%
Flamengo
14.8%
Empate
9.8%
Botafogo SP

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Flamengo
2.66
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.8%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
Botafogo SP
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Flamengo
+28%
-1%
Botafogo SP

Progresión del ELO

Flamengo
Botafogo SP
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 may. 1978
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
72%
18%
10%
89 81 8 0
21 may. 1978
COR
Corinthians
1 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
47%
29%
24%
89 89 0 0
07 may. 1978
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
1 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
23%
26%
51%
89 67 22 0
04 may. 1978
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 0
Paysandu
PAY
79%
13%
8%
89 74 15 0
30 abr. 1978
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 1
Portuguesa
POR
70%
19%
11%
89 84 5 0

Partidos

Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 may. 1978
BOT
Botafogo SP
1 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
57%
21%
23%
80 81 1 0
24 may. 1978
COR
Corinthians
1 - 0
Botafogo SP
BOT
64%
21%
15%
80 89 9 0
21 may. 1978
BOT
Botafogo SP
3 - 0
Operário MS
OPE
57%
21%
23%
79 80 1 +1
21 may. 1978
BOT
Botafogo SP
2 - 0
América RJ
AME
50%
23%
27%
80 85 5 -1
07 may. 1978
SAO
São Paulo
6 - 2
Botafogo SP
BOT
71%
17%
12%
80 89 9 0