Análisis Flamengo vs Botafogo SP
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.56
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.7%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+29%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 jun. 1978 |
OPE
1 - 0
FLA
32%
26%
41%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 may. 1978 |
FLA
2 - 0
JUV
79%
13%
8%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 may. 1978 |
FLA
1 - 1
BOT
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1978 |
FLA
0 - 0
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 may. 1978 |
COR
1 - 1
FLA
47%
29%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 jun. 1978 |
BOT
2 - 2
BOT
45%
24%
30%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 may. 1978 |
BOT
3 - 1
AME
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 may. 1978 |
BOT
1 - 0
SPO
57%
21%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 may. 1978 |
FLA
1 - 1
BOT
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1978 |
COR
1 - 0
BOT
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |