Carioca Jor. 3

Análisis Flamengo vs Fluminense

Flamengo Fluminense
81 ELO 80
-1.2% Tilt 12.5%
130º Ranking ELO general 140º
Ranking ELO país 14º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
51.6%
Flamengo
23.9%
Empate
24.5%
Fluminense

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Flamengo
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
Fluminense
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Flamengo
+31%
+6%
Fluminense

Progresión del ELO

Flamengo
Fluminense
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 ene. 2004
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 1
Friburguense
FRI
83%
13%
5%
81 58 23 0
25 ene. 2004
CAB
Cabofriense
0 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
9%
17%
74%
81 51 30 0
14 dic. 2003
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 3
Flamengo
FLA
65%
19%
16%
80 86 6 +1
07 dic. 2003
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 1
Ponte Preta
PPE
51%
25%
25%
80 79 1 0
29 nov. 2003
SCI
Internacional
3 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
44%
26%
30%
80 83 3 0

Partidos

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 ene. 2004
FLU
Fluminense
3 - 0
Cabofriense
CAB
88%
9%
3%
80 50 30 0
25 ene. 2004
MAD
Madureira RJ
1 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
14%
20%
66%
80 55 25 0
14 dic. 2003
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
54%
24%
22%
79 79 0 +1
07 dic. 2003
CRZ
Cruzeiro
5 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
72%
17%
11%
80 88 8 -1
29 nov. 2003
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 1
São Caetano
SAO
44%
27%
29%
79 85 6 +1