Análisis Flamengo vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.21
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.9%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 nov. 1976 |
FLA
5 - 1
GRE
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 1976 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLA
44%
28%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1976 |
BAH
2 - 2
FLA
37%
30%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1976 |
CRB
0 - 2
FLA
21%
24%
55%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1976 |
FLU
1 - 0
FLA
51%
26%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 nov. 1976 |
CRB
1 - 3
NAU
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 1976 |
NAU
0 - 1
GUA
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 1976 |
NAU
3 - 1
FLU
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1976 |
NAU
0 - 3
GRE
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1976 |
ATM
2 - 0
NAU
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |