Análisis Flamengo vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 oct. 1989 |
ARG
2 - 1
FLA
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1989 |
SCI
0 - 0
FLA
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1989 |
FLA
0 - 1
ARG
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 sep. 1989 |
FLA
2 - 1
GUA
53%
27%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 1989 |
VIT
0 - 0
FLA
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 oct. 1989 |
NAU
4 - 0
VIT
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1989 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 1989 |
ATP
3 - 0
NAU
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 1989 |
NAU
1 - 2
GUA
44%
29%
28%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1989 |
NAU
1 - 0
COR
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |