Análisis Flamengo vs Vitória
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.14
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.1%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+30%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 nov. 1976 |
FLA
2 - 0
NAU
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1976 |
FLA
5 - 1
GRE
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 nov. 1976 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLA
44%
28%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1976 |
BAH
2 - 2
FLA
37%
30%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1976 |
CRB
0 - 2
FLA
21%
24%
55%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Partidos
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 1976 |
PAL
2 - 0
VIT
66%
22%
12%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1976 |
VIT
2 - 4
SAO
34%
30%
37%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 oct. 1976 |
VIT
0 - 4
GUA
49%
25%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1976 |
AME
3 - 0
VIT
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1976 |
VIT
0 - 3
FLA
41%
29%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |