Análisis Flamengo SP vs Nacional SP
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
35.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.21
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.2%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-38%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 1
FLA
45%
24%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 1
SER
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
FLA
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAT
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
SER
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 0
MAT
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 1
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 abr. 2016 |
SER
3 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |