Análisis Fluminense vs América
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 mar. 2011 |
FLU
0 - 2
BOA
92%
6%
2%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 0
FLU
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 1
AME
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2011 |
RES
1 - 2
FLU
9%
18%
73%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 0
FLU
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2011 |
AME
0 - 2
CAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
AME
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 0
FLU
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 feb. 2011 |
AME
4 - 3
TOL
48%
25%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |