Análisis Fluminense vs Botafogo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.9
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 sep. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 1
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 1
FLU
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2004 |
CRI
0 - 2
FLU
39%
24%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
FLU
2 - 1
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 3
FLU
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 sep. 2004 |
PPE
1 - 1
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2004 |
BOT
4 - 3
PAR
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 sep. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 2
VAS
32%
25%
44%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
FFL
3 - 1
BOT
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 1
GRE
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |