Análisis Fluminense vs Botafogo SP
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.5
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.4%
Empate
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 1977 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 1977 |
CSA
1 - 2
FLU
18%
24%
59%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1977 |
OPE
2 - 1
FLU
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 nov. 1977 |
FLU
1 - 0
BAH
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 1977 |
FLU
2 - 1
FLA
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 dic. 1977 |
BOT
3 - 1
CSA
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 1977 |
BOT
2 - 2
CSA
75%
17%
9%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 1977 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 dic. 1977 |
BOT
1 - 1
OPE
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1977 |
BOT
2 - 2
BOT
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |