Análisis Fluminense vs Duque de Caxias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.53
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
12.6%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
4.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.44
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ene. 2008 |
FLU
2 - 0
CAM
88%
10%
2%
|
83 | 29 | 54 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 4
FLU
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 nov. 2007 |
FLU
3 - 2
JUV
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 0
FLU
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 2007 |
FLU
2 - 1
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 2008 |
AME
2 - 5
DUQ
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2007 |
DUQ
0 - 0
GOY
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2007 |
TIG
1 - 3
DUQ
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 2007 |
MAC
2 - 0
DUQ
51%
23%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 oct. 2007 |
GOY
0 - 2
DUQ
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |