Carioca Jor. 4

Análisis Fluminense vs Flamengo

Fluminense Flamengo
82 ELO 79
13.8% Tilt 20%
138º Ranking ELO general 129º
13º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
65.4%
Fluminense
19.4%
Empate
15.2%
Flamengo

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
Fluminense
2.17
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Flamengo
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Fluminense
+8%
+32%
Flamengo

Progresión del ELO

Fluminense
Flamengo
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 ene. 2006
AME
Americano
2 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
16%
21%
63%
82 61 21 0
18 ene. 2006
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
0 - 6
Fluminense
FLU
9%
17%
74%
82 51 31 0
15 ene. 2006
FLU
Fluminense
4 - 0
Portuguesa RJ
POR
89%
8%
3%
82 50 32 0
04 dic. 2005
PAL
Palmeiras
3 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
51%
23%
26%
82 83 1 0
27 nov. 2005
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 2
EC Juventude
JUV
59%
21%
20%
83 79 4 -1

Partidos

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 ene. 2006
POR
Portuguesa RJ
2 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
11%
21%
68%
79 49 30 0
19 ene. 2006
CAB
Cabofriense
2 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
11%
21%
68%
79 49 30 0
14 ene. 2006
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 1
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
85%
11%
4%
80 50 30 -1
04 dic. 2005
PAY
Paysandu
1 - 4
Flamengo
FLA
49%
25%
26%
79 75 4 +1
27 nov. 2005
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 0
Goiás EC
GOI
36%
26%
38%
80 84 4 -1