Análisis Fluminense vs Grêmio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.2%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jun. 1978 |
FLU
2 - 1
NAU
64%
22%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 jun. 1978 |
CEA
0 - 1
FLU
29%
31%
40%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 1978 |
SAN
1 - 0
FLU
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 1978 |
GOI
2 - 1
FLU
40%
30%
30%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 1978 |
FLU
1 - 1
JEC
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jun. 1978 |
GRE
2 - 1
JEC
73%
17%
11%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 jun. 1978 |
SAN
0 - 0
GRE
43%
28%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 jun. 1978 |
GRE
0 - 0
BAH
59%
24%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 jun. 1978 |
GRE
4 - 1
GOI
60%
24%
16%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 1978 |
NAU
1 - 1
GRE
36%
28%
36%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |