Análisis Fluminense vs Grêmio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 1
PPE
72%
17%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 2
FLU
26%
27%
47%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 1
NAU
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 1
BOT
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 3
GRE
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
CRZ
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2012 |
BSC
0 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |