Análisis Fluminense vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 1983 |
FLU
0 - 0
GOI
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 1983 |
FLU
1 - 0
COR
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 1983 |
CSA
1 - 2
FLU
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 feb. 1983 |
FLU
3 - 0
TIR
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 1983 |
FLU
5 - 1
FOR
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 mar. 1983 |
RIO
1 - 1
NAU
39%
28%
32%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 1983 |
FER
1 - 2
NAU
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 1983 |
NAU
4 - 0
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 feb. 1983 |
NAU
1 - 1
VAS
36%
28%
37%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 1983 |
NAU
4 - 0
TRE
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |