Análisis Fluminense vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.09
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 mar. 1985 |
CRZ
0 - 1
FLU
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 1985 |
FLU
1 - 0
SCI
59%
24%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1985 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLU
58%
23%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1985 |
POR
2 - 2
FLU
40%
28%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 1985 |
SAN
1 - 1
FLU
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 mar. 1985 |
NAU
4 - 3
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 1985 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAU
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1985 |
ATM
5 - 1
NAU
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 1985 |
NAU
1 - 1
AME
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 1985 |
NAU
3 - 2
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |