Análisis Fluminense vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.8%
Empate
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 oct. 1990 |
GOI
3 - 0
FLU
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1990 |
FLU
1 - 4
BAH
50%
29%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 sep. 1990 |
FLU
1 - 1
BRA
55%
26%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1990 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
53%
27%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 1990 |
COR
1 - 0
FLU
45%
28%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 oct. 1990 |
COR
1 - 0
NAU
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1990 |
NAU
2 - 2
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1990 |
VAS
1 - 1
NAU
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1990 |
NAU
1 - 1
SCI
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 1990 |
BRA
0 - 1
NAU
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |