Análisis Fluminense vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
53.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.67
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ago. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 1
FLU
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
GRÊ
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 3
COT
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ago. 2009 |
NAU
3 - 0
ATP
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2009 |
CRZ
4 - 2
NAU
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 0
GOI
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 ago. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 1
NAU
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 ago. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |