Análisis Fluminense vs Sergipe
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
88.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.27
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.2%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
3.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.54
Goles esperados
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 1977 |
VOL
0 - 1
FLU
17%
23%
60%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1977 |
DES
0 - 5
FLU
18%
25%
57%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 1976 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
53%
26%
21%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 nov. 1976 |
FLU
1 - 0
BAH
61%
22%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 1976 |
ATM
0 - 0
FLU
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 1977 |
VIT
3 - 1
SER
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1977 |
FLU
0 - 1
SER
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 1975 |
POR
4 - 0
SER
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 oct. 1975 |
GOI
1 - 0
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1975 |
SER
4 - 2
CAM
60%
20%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |