Análisis Fluminense vs Zamora FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.39
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.9%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 2
FLU
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2012 |
FLU
3 - 0
NOV
86%
11%
4%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 2012 |
RES
2 - 1
FLU
11%
18%
72%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 3
FLU
48%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 mar. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
ZAM
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MON
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 1
TAC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2012 |
TRU
1 - 3
ZAM
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 feb. 2012 |
ARS
3 - 0
ZAM
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |