Análisis Fortaleza EC vs EC Juventude
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-26%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 jun. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
DUQ
78%
15%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 1
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 may. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 3
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 may. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 may. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 4
GUA
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 jun. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 1
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 may. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 0
JUV
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 may. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 0
ABC
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 may. 2009 |
DUQ
4 - 2
JUV
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 may. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 2
CEA
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |