Análisis Fortaleza EC vs Quixadá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.86
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.6%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.51
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ene. 2005 |
FOR
2 - 1
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 0
AVA
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 0
FOR
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 1
BAH
46%
25%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 nov. 2004 |
BAH
2 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ene. 2005 |
QUI
2 - 0
CEA
12%
18%
70%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |