Análisis Fortaleza EC vs Quixadá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.14
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
8.7%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.51
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 3
FOR
16%
21%
63%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2007 |
UNI
1 - 2
FOR
15%
21%
64%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2007 |
FOR
1 - 2
ITA
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 dic. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 0
GRE
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 nov. 2006 |
JUV
2 - 2
FOR
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 1
QUI
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 4
ITA
38%
23%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 ene. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 3
FER
50%
23%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 mar. 2006 |
ITA
2 - 1
QUI
49%
23%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 2006 |
QUI
4 - 0
LIM
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |