Análisis Fortaleza EC vs Sousa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
74.9%
Probabilidad gana
2.49
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.6%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
FOR
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 3
OES
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 nov. 2012 |
OES
1 - 1
FOR
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 oct. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
FOR
20%
27%
54%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
ICA
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
Partidos
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
SPO
13%
21%
66%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
SOU
40%
27%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 sep. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 ago. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
FEI
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 0
SOU
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |