Análisis Fortaleza vs At. Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
21.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.85
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
53%
Probabilidad gana
1.52
Goles esperados
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
FOR
56%
26%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 0
EQU
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2014 |
ENV
0 - 2
FOR
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
TOL
18%
25%
58%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 sep. 2014 |
MIL
4 - 0
FOR
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
AGU
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2014 |
JUN
0 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2014 |
PAS
2 - 1
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |