Análisis Fortaleza vs Bogotá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 nov. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
ALI
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 0
FOR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 oct. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
SFE
19%
27%
54%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 oct. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 0
FOR
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
IND
22%
26%
52%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
Partidos
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 nov. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 1
TFC
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2016 |
PER
3 - 0
BOG
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 nov. 2016 |
BOG
2 - 3
LEO
32%
28%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 1
BOG
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 nov. 2016 |
BOG
2 - 1
PER
23%
27%
50%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |