Análisis Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Alemannia Aachen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.8
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.3%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 nov. 1978 |
ARB
2 - 0
F95
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 1978 |
F95
4 - 2
EIN
44%
25%
32%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 1978 |
S04
1 - 2
F95
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1978 |
F95
3 - 0
MSV
49%
23%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 nov. 1978 |
ABE
2 - 0
F95
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 nov. 1978 |
HOL
2 - 1
AAA
49%
26%
24%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 1978 |
AAA
4 - 0
AHA
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 nov. 1978 |
LEV
2 - 0
AAA
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 1978 |
AAA
1 - 1
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 1978 |
WHE
0 - 1
AAA
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |