Análisis Fortuna Köln vs Arminia Bielefeld
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.67
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+29%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 may. 1986 |
BVB
8 - 0
KÖL
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 may. 1986 |
BVB
3 - 1
KÖL
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 may. 1986 |
KÖL
2 - 0
BVB
48%
22%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 may. 1986 |
KSC
2 - 2
KÖL
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 may. 1986 |
KÖL
6 - 0
BAY
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 1986 |
WAT
1 - 2
ARB
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 may. 1986 |
ARB
2 - 0
KSC
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 may. 1986 |
BAY
2 - 0
ARB
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 1986 |
ARB
1 - 1
BWB
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 1986 |
TEN
1 - 2
ARB
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |