Análisis Fortuna Köln vs Arminia Hannover
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.39
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.1%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
-59%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 1979 |
LEV
1 - 2
KÖL
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 1979 |
KÖL
2 - 0
STP
57%
21%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 1979 |
WUP
1 - 3
KÖL
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 dic. 1978 |
WHE
1 - 0
KÖL
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1978 |
KÖL
4 - 0
TEN
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Arminia Hannover
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 1979 |
AHA
1 - 1
WHE
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1978 |
AHA
3 - 0
WAT
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 dic. 1978 |
WAB
0 - 2
AHA
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 nov. 1978 |
AHA
1 - 3
KFC
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 nov. 1978 |
AAA
4 - 0
AHA
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |