Análisis Fortuna Köln vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.54
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 1978 |
HAN
3 - 1
KÖL
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 1978 |
KÖL
4 - 3
PRE
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1978 |
USO
0 - 3
KÖL
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 abr. 1978 |
KÖL
2 - 1
TEN
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1978 |
OSN
2 - 2
KÖL
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 1978 |
SWE
4 - 2
WUP
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 1978 |
WAT
4 - 0
SWE
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 1978 |
SWE
0 - 1
ARB
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 1978 |
WHE
1 - 1
SWE
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 1978 |
SCH
3 - 0
SWE
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |