Liga Sudafricana . Jor. 4

Análisis Free State Stars vs Swallows FC

Free State Stars Swallows FC
69 ELO 67
7.2% Tilt -14.4%
19008º Ranking ELO general 1360º
43º Ranking ELO país 13º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
55.5%
Free State Stars
24%
Empate
20.5%
Swallows FC

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
55.5%
Probabilidad gana
Free State Stars
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.5%
Probabilidad gana
Swallows FC
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Free State Stars
Swallows FC
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Free State Stars
Free State Stars
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 ago. 2009
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 - 1
Free State Stars
FRE
49%
27%
24%
69 68 1 0
19 ago. 2009
FRE
Free State Stars
1 - 1
Cape Town Spurs
AJA
48%
25%
26%
69 71 2 0
09 ago. 2009
BLO
Bloemfontein Celtic
2 - 2
Free State Stars
FRE
45%
28%
27%
69 64 5 0
05 ago. 2009
FRE
Free State Stars
0 - 1
Golden Arrows
GOL
58%
23%
19%
71 69 2 -2
09 may. 2009
FRE
Free State Stars
5 - 1
Bloemfontein Celtic
BLO
61%
23%
16%
70 65 5 +1

Partidos

Swallows FC
Swallows FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 ago. 2009
SWA
Swallows FC
0 - 1
Orlando Pirates
PIR
40%
27%
33%
66 73 7 0
19 ago. 2009
MPU
Cape Town City FC
2 - 1
Swallows FC
SWA
29%
28%
43%
67 56 11 -1
08 ago. 2009
SWA
Swallows FC
0 - 0
Golden Arrows
GOL
51%
26%
23%
67 69 2 0
23 may. 2009
PRE
Pretoria University
0 - 1
Swallows FC
SWA
29%
24%
46%
67 59 8 0
09 may. 2009
BID
Bidvest Wits
2 - 0
Swallows FC
SWA
40%
28%
32%
68 63 5 -1
X