Análisis Genoa vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.14
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.6%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 2005 |
CRO
0 - 0
GEN
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 1
TER
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2005 |
ASC
0 - 3
GEN
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2005 |
GEN
0 - 0
CAT
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2005 |
TRI
0 - 0
GEN
36%
27%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2005 |
MOD
4 - 0
CES
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2005 |
CES
1 - 1
PES
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2005 |
EMP
0 - 0
CES
66%
22%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2005 |
CES
1 - 1
SAL
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2005 |
TRE
3 - 1
CES
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |