Análisis Genoa vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 2
GEN
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 0
ARZ
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 sep. 2006 |
LEC
3 - 2
GEN
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 sep. 2006 |
GEN
2 - 0
PIA
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 sep. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 0
GEN
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2006 |
CES
1 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 1
CES
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2006 |
CES
3 - 3
PES
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2006 |
VIC
0 - 1
CES
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2006 |
CES
3 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |