Análisis Genoa vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.24
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
SIR
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 1953 |
FAN
1 - 1
GEN
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 1952 |
GEN
2 - 1
ASS
70%
18%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1952 |
TRE
2 - 1
GEN
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 dic. 1952 |
GEN
0 - 0
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 1953 |
MES
3 - 1
ASS
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 1953 |
BRE
1 - 1
MES
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 1952 |
UNI
2 - 0
MES
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1952 |
MES
2 - 0
VIC
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 1952 |
MES
1 - 1
VER
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |