Análisis Genoa vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 1962 |
VER
1 - 0
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 1962 |
GEN
4 - 2
ASL
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 ene. 1962 |
REG
1 - 2
GEN
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 1962 |
GEN
4 - 2
SSS
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 dic. 1961 |
PRO
2 - 2
GEN
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 1962 |
ACP
0 - 0
MES
51%
26%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 1962 |
VER
0 - 0
MES
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 1962 |
MES
0 - 0
PRO
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 1962 |
MES
2 - 2
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 dic. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 1
MES
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |