Análisis Genoa vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 dic. 1963 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 1963 |
SPA
0 - 0
GEN
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 1963 |
GEN
0 - 0
VIC
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1963 |
MAN
0 - 0
GEN
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 1963 |
GEN
0 - 0
ATL
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 dic. 1963 |
MES
1 - 1
TOR
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 1963 |
MAN
2 - 2
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 1963 |
JUV
2 - 1
MES
83%
11%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1963 |
MES
0 - 1
INT
21%
27%
53%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 nov. 1963 |
MES
0 - 3
FIO
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |