Análisis Genoa vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.31
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 1946 |
GEN
1 - 0
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 1946 |
SAM
3 - 0
GEN
49%
22%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 1946 |
VIC
1 - 0
GEN
37%
23%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1946 |
GEN
0 - 0
LIV
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1946 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 1946 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRI
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 1946 |
BOL
1 - 0
MOD
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1946 |
MOD
2 - 0
VNZ
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 1946 |
FIO
1 - 2
MOD
67%
18%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1946 |
LAZ
1 - 2
MOD
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |